2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Rutgers at Penn State
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Beaver Stadium
Rutgers
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 2.7
- National rank
- 61
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Penn State
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 16.2
- National rank
- 17
- Proj. wins
- 8.9
- Playoff prob.
- 33%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Rutgers
13%
Penn State
87%
Penn State 90% CI: 83% – 91% Δ rating 13.5
Penn State is the model's favorite at 87%. Rutgers has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Penn State — venue-specific learned value (n=65 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Rutgers offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Penn State offense
55 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Beaver Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No