Conference game
Rutgers at Penn State
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Rutgers 11% Underdog
Penn State 89% Favorite
Penn State is the model's favorite at 89%. Rutgers has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for Penn State — venue-specific learned value (n=63 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Rutgers offense
34 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Penn State offense
Higher fit 55 / 100 Style-neutral matchup