2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Minnesota at Penn State
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Beaver Stadium
Minnesota
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.2
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Penn State
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 16.2
- National rank
- 17
- Proj. wins
- 8.9
- Playoff prob.
- 33%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Minnesota
18%
Penn State
82%
Penn State 90% CI: 75% – 87% Δ rating 10.0
Penn State is the model's favorite at 82%. Minnesota has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Penn State — venue-specific learned value (n=65 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Minnesota offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Penn State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Beaver Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No