2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Purdue at Penn State
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Beaver Stadium
Purdue
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -2.2
- National rank
- 78
- Proj. wins
- 3.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Penn State
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 16.2
- National rank
- 17
- Proj. wins
- 8.9
- Playoff prob.
- 33%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Purdue
7%
Penn State
93%
Penn State 90% CI: 90% – 95% Δ rating 18.4
Penn State is the model's favorite at 93%. Purdue has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Penn State — venue-specific learned value (n=65 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Purdue offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Penn State offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Beaver Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No