2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Wisconsin at Penn State
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Beaver Stadium
Wisconsin
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.8
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Penn State
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 16.2
- National rank
- 17
- Proj. wins
- 8.9
- Playoff prob.
- 33%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Wisconsin
14%
Penn State
86%
Penn State 90% CI: 81% – 90% Δ rating 12.4
Penn State is the model's favorite at 86%. Wisconsin has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Penn State — venue-specific learned value (n=65 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Wisconsin offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Penn State offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Beaver Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No