2026 Week 1
Massachusetts at Rutgers
Thursday, September 3, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
SHI Stadium
Massachusetts
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -32.9
- National rank
- 138
- Proj. wins
- 1.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Rutgers
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 2.7
- National rank
- 61
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Massachusetts
1%
Rutgers
99%
Rutgers 90% CI: 99% – 99% Δ rating 35.6
Rutgers is the model's favorite at 99%. Massachusetts has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Rutgers — venue-specific learned value (n=33 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Massachusetts offense
53 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Rutgers offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
76°F
Precipitation
13%
Wind
5 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, September 3, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- SHI Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No