Conference game
Wake Forest at SMU
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Wake Forest 32% Underdog
SMU 68% Favorite
SMU is the model's favorite at 68%. Wake Forest has a 32% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.0 rating points baked in for SMU — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Wake Forest offense
Higher fit 32 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
SMU offense
31 / 100 Style-neutral matchup