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2026 Week 10

North Carolina at UConn

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC

Pratt & Whitney Stadium

North Carolina
ACC
Record
1-0
Rating
3.5
National rank
56
Proj. wins
4.4
Playoff prob.
0%
UConn
FBS Independents
Record
0-0
Rating
-11.9
National rank
110
Proj. wins
8.0
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

North Carolina
84%
UConn
16%
UConn 90% CI: 11% – 21% Δ rating 15.4

North Carolina is the model's favorite at 84%. UConn has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.9 rating points baked in for UConn — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

North Carolina offense
42 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

UConn offense
34 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC
Venue
Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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