Conference game
Virginia Tech at SMU
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Virginia Tech 26% Underdog
SMU 74% Favorite
SMU is the model's favorite at 74%. Virginia Tech has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for SMU — venue-specific night-game value (n=50 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Virginia Tech offense
29 / 100 Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
SMU offense
Higher fit 42 / 100 Style-neutral matchup