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2026 Week 8 · Conference game

Syracuse at North Carolina

Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Kenan Stadium

Syracuse
ACC
Record
0-0
Rating
-1.9
National rank
76
Proj. wins
2.6
Playoff prob.
0%
North Carolina
ACC
Record
1-0
Rating
3.5
National rank
56
Proj. wins
4.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Syracuse
33%
North Carolina
67%
North Carolina 90% CI: 58% – 74% Δ rating 5.4

North Carolina is the model's favorite at 67%. Syracuse has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.1 rating points baked in for North Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Syracuse offense
33 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

North Carolina offense
44 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Kenan Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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