2026 Week 3 · Conference game
Miami at Wake Forest
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Miami
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 22.0
- National rank
- 7
- Proj. wins
- 9.4
- Playoff prob.
- 61%
Wake Forest
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.4
- National rank
- 57
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Miami
88%
Wake Forest
12%
Wake Forest 90% CI: 8% – 16% Δ rating 18.6
Miami is the model's favorite at 88%. Wake Forest has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Wake Forest — venue-specific night-game value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Miami offense
28 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Wake Forest offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Unknown
Temperature
0°F
Precipitation
17%
Wind
0 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No