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2026 Week 13 · Conference game

Arizona State at Arizona

Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

Arizona Stadium

Arizona State
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
4.9
National rank
51
Proj. wins
5.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Arizona
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
9.5
National rank
31
Proj. wins
7.2
Playoff prob.
3%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Arizona State
26%
Arizona
74%
Arizona 90% CI: 66% – 81% Δ rating 4.6

Arizona is the model's favorite at 74%. Arizona State has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for Arizona — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Arizona State offense
31 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Arizona offense
33 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
Arizona Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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