Conference game
Oklahoma State at Arizona State
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Oklahoma State 71% Favorite
Arizona State 29% Underdog
Oklahoma State is the model's favorite at 71%. Arizona State has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Arizona State — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oklahoma State offense
33 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Arizona State offense
Higher fit 43 / 100 Style-neutral matchup