2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Utah at Arizona
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Arizona Stadium
Utah
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 9.8
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 9.5
- Playoff prob.
- 75%
Arizona
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 9.5
- National rank
- 31
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Utah
39%
Arizona
61%
Arizona 90% CI: 52% – 69% Δ rating 0.3
Arizona is the model's favorite at 61%. Utah has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for Arizona — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Utah offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Arizona offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Arizona Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No