2026 Week 1
Oklahoma State at Tulsa
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:45 PM UTC
Chapman Stadium
Oklahoma State
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.9
- National rank
- 39
- Proj. wins
- 2.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Tulsa
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.1
- National rank
- 91
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oklahoma State
84%
Tulsa
16%
Tulsa 90% CI: 11% – 21% Δ rating 13.0
Oklahoma State is the model's favorite at 84%. Tulsa has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.5 rating points baked in for Tulsa — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oklahoma State offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Tulsa offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
97°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
8 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:45 PM UTC
- Venue
- Chapman Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No