Conference game

Vanderbilt at Florida

Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST

GIE win probability

Vanderbilt 12% Underdog

Florida 88% Favorite

Florida 90% CI: 84–92%
Δ rating: Florida +12.0

Florida is the model's favorite at 88%. Vanderbilt has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.1 rating points baked in for Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Team comparison

Vanderbilt and Florida compared
Measure	Vanderbilt SEC	Florida SEC
Record	3-5	5-3
Rating	−1.4	10.6
National rank	77	31
Proj. wins	3.9	7.2
Playoff prob.	0%	0%

Game info

Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conference game: Yes
Neutral site: No

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Vanderbilt offense Higher fit 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup

Florida offense 37 / 100 Style-neutral matchup