Conference game

Oklahoma at Florida

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 7:45 PM EST

GIE win probability

Oklahoma 41% Underdog

Florida 59% Favorite

Florida 90% CI: 50–68%
Δ rating: Florida +0.3

Florida is the model's favorite at 59%. Oklahoma has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.7 rating points baked in for Florida — venue-specific night-game value (n=49 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Team comparison

Oklahoma and Florida compared
Measure	Oklahoma SEC	Florida SEC
Record	4-4	5-3
Rating	10.3	10.6
National rank	33	31
Proj. wins	5.4	7.2
Playoff prob.	0%	0%

Game info

Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conference game: Yes
Neutral site: No

Weather at kickoff

Conditions: Clear
Temperature: 62°F
Precipitation: 3%
Wind: 3mph

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Oklahoma offense Higher fit 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup

Florida offense 30 / 100 Style-neutral matchup