2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Auburn at Tennessee
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Neyland Stadium
Auburn
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 11.5
- National rank
- 26
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
Tennessee
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 17.3
- National rank
- 14
- Proj. wins
- 7.3
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Auburn
32%
Tennessee
68%
Tennessee 90% CI: 59% – 75% Δ rating 5.8
Tennessee is the model's favorite at 68%. Auburn has a 32% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.2 rating points baked in for Tennessee — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Auburn offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Tennessee offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Neyland Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No