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2026 Week 2

Mississippi State at Minnesota

Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC

Huntington Bank Stadium

Mississippi State
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
4.8
National rank
52
Proj. wins
4.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Minnesota
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
6.2
National rank
40
Proj. wins
5.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Mississippi State
43%
Minnesota
57%
Minnesota 90% CI: 48% – 66% Δ rating 1.4

Minnesota is the model's favorite at 57%. Mississippi State has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.9 rating points baked in for Minnesota — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Mississippi State offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Minnesota offense
42 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Conditions
Rain showers
Temperature
73°F
Precipitation
18%
Wind
2 mph

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Venue
Huntington Bank Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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