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2026 Week 2

Charlotte at Ole Miss

Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:45 PM UTC

Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Charlotte
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
-24.1
National rank
132
Proj. wins
1.6
Playoff prob.
0%
Ole Miss
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
16.5
National rank
16
Proj. wins
8.6
Playoff prob.
80%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Charlotte
1%
Ole Miss
99%
Ole Miss 90% CI: 99% – 100% Δ rating 40.6

Ole Miss is the model's favorite at 99%. Charlotte has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.1 rating points baked in for Ole Miss — venue-specific night-game value (n=61 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Charlotte offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Ole Miss offense
43 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Conditions
Clear
Temperature
80°F
Precipitation
10%
Wind
6 mph

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:45 PM UTC
Venue
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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